默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 17:37 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 8–3 Boston Red Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 49.41%2.02公平赔率
EV +0.804%
优势 +0.394%
Kelly +0.773%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 2.04

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.37%49.47%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.951.942.0453.48%51.38%51.55%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 50.59%1.98公平赔率
EV -0.345%
优势 -0.175%
Kelly -0.355%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
49.49%50.63%50.53%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.761.881.871.9756.82%53.31%53.48%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):49.41%;Boston Red Sox (客队):50.59%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.02。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.04,对应+0.804%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +0.804%E +0.394%K +0.773%G +0.006%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +0.804%E +0.394%K +0.773%G +0.006%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.185%E -0.091%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.185%E -0.091%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 16:03
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:15
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:14
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:09
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:09
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.93%E -4.36%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:14
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.17%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.94%E -4.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -1.36%E -0.696%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-16 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.86%E -0.960%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.86%E -0.960%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 14:34
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.66%E -1.35%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.66%E -1.35%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.94%E -4.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.66%E -1.35%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.94%E -4.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:14
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.851%E -0.434%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 16:34
Caesars🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.86%E -0.960%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 16:35
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 16:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 16:35
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 17:24
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:25
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.345%E -0.175%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.345%E -0.175%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 16:29
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.345%E -0.175%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 16:24
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -10.97%E -6.23%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:43
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:29
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:24
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:29
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:34
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:23
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 17:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 17:15
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%0.8%2026-08-16 17:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-16 16:10
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-16 17:35
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-08-16 17:35
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-08-16 17:19
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-08-16 17:35