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Pittsburgh Pirates v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.01%53.03%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.67%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV -0.406%
Edge -0.192%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%46.99%46.97%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.042.1251.28%49.19%48.90%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 53.02%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 46.98%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -0.406%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.82%E -0.869%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.57%E -2.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.406%E -0.192%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.57%E -2.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.16%E -2.04%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 17:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -5.57%E -2.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 17:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |