Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-04-05 17:36 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 53.02%1.89odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%53.01%53.03%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.67%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 46.98%2.13odd justa
EV -0.406%
Vantagem -0.192%
Kelly -0.363%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%46.99%46.97%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.032.042.1251.28%49.19%48.90%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 53.02%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 46.98%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.12, com valor esperado de -0.406%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 17:25
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.82%E -0.869%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-05 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-05 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-05 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.57%E -2.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:43
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.406%E -0.192%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-05 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:39
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.57%E -2.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:35
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:39
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:40
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:34
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:19
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.16%E -2.04%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:19
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 17:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:20
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:54
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:54
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:54
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 17:08
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.22%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -6.68%E -3.80%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -5.57%E -2.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 17:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 17:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-05 17:25
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-05 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-05 17:35
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-05 16:39
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-05 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-04-05 17:35
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-04-05 17:15
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-05 17:35
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-04-05 17:30