Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 16:36 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 5–10 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 49.76%2.01fair odd
EV -0.478%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.40%49.64%49.74%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.931.922.0053.76%51.87%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 50.24%1.99fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%50.36%50.26%51.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.891.901.9655.25%52.95%52.77%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -0.478%E -0.239%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 16:24
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 16:34
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:25
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.53%E -0.782%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 16:05
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:24
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 16:24
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 16:25
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:29
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:25
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:25
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 15:45
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:35
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 14:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:35
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 14:50
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:45
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:25
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:24
Everygame1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.53%E -0.782%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:04
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 15:45
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 15:45
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 14:54
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.07%E -5.01%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:25
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 15:48
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 16:15
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:35
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:45
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:45
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 14:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 16:34
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:55
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:59
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.56%E -3.52%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:35
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.95%E -3.15%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 16:20
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:35
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 15:44
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 16:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-07-09 16:34
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-09 16:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-09 16:15
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-07-09 16:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-07-09 16:00
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-07-09 16:35