The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-09 16:36 — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Option 1: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Odds
1.8853.19%Min
1.9351.73%Mean
1.9351.81%Median
2.0050.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
47.37%2.111Min
50.00%2.000Max
49.20%2.033Mean
48.95%2.043Median
49.07%2.038IQM
49.26%2.030Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 49.07%

EV -1.85%Edge -0.925%Kelly -1.85%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Odds
1.8055.56%Min
1.8753.35%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
1.9651.02%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.00%2.000Min
52.63%1.900Max
50.80%1.968Mean
51.05%1.959Median
50.93%1.964IQM
50.74%1.971Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.96 under the IQM model: 50.93%

EV -0.186%Edge -0.095%Kelly -0.194%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPittsburgh Pirates (Local) ▼Atlanta Braves (Visit)MarginUpdated
William Hill2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -1.85% E -0.925% K -1.85% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -8.33% E -4.63% K -10.42% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 18:50
FanDuel1.98I 50.51% NM 48.44%EV -2.83% E -1.43% K -2.89% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 51.56%EV -5.28% E -2.84% K -6.14% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76% NM 48.83%EV -3.32% E -1.69% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 51.17%EV -4.26% E -2.27% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 19:38
1xBet1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%EV -3.81% E -1.95% K -3.97% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%EV -0.186% E -0.095% K -0.194% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -4.30% E -2.21% K -4.53% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -0.695% E -0.357% K -0.732% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 17:59
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -4.30% E -2.21% K -4.53% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -0.695% E -0.357% K -0.732% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 17:59
GTbets1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -4.30% E -2.21% K -4.53% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -0.695% E -0.357% K -0.732% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 18:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.30% E -2.21% K -4.53% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.77% E -2.55% K -5.48% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.30% E -2.21% K -4.53% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.77% E -2.55% K -5.48% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.30% E -2.21% K -4.53% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.77% E -2.55% K -5.48% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:35
ReBet1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -4.30% E -2.21% K -4.53% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -6.81% E -3.72% K -8.20% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 18:00
Bet Right1.94I 51.55% NM 49.21%EV -4.80% E -2.47% K -5.10% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.79%EV -4.26% E -2.27% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 19:35
SportsBet1.94I 51.55% NM 48.95%EV -4.80% E -2.47% K -5.10% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 51.05%EV -5.28% E -2.84% K -6.14% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55% NM 48.95%EV -4.80% E -2.47% K -5.10% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 51.05%EV -5.28% E -2.84% K -6.14% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 19:35
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81% NM 49.34%EV -5.29% E -2.74% K -5.68% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.66%EV -4.26% E -2.27% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:35
PlayUp1.93I 51.81% NM 49.34%EV -5.29% E -2.74% K -5.68% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.66%EV -4.26% E -2.27% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81% NM 48.81%EV -5.29% E -2.74% K -5.68% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 51.19%EV -6.30% E -3.42% K -7.50% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 19:34
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81% NM 48.67%EV -5.29% E -2.74% K -5.68% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.33%EV -6.81% E -3.72% K -8.20% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 19:34
NordicBet1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -5.78% E -3.01% K -6.28% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -4.26% E -2.27% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 19:35
Betsson1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -5.78% E -3.01% K -6.28% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -4.26% E -2.27% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 19:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.27% E -3.28% K -6.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.73% E -1.43% K -3.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 19:34
Fliff1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.27% E -3.28% K -6.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.73% E -1.43% K -3.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 18:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.27% E -3.28% K -6.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.73% E -1.43% K -3.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -6.27% E -3.28% K -6.89% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -5.79% E -3.13% K -6.81% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 19:35
888sport1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -6.27% E -3.28% K -6.89% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -5.79% E -3.13% K -6.81% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 19:35
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -6.27% E -3.28% K -6.89% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -5.79% E -3.13% K -6.81% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 19:35
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -6.76% E -3.56% K -7.51% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -3.24% E -1.71% K -3.60% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19% NM 48.91%EV -7.74% E -4.12% K -8.80% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 51.09%EV -8.33% E -4.63% K -10.42% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-08 19:34
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19% NM 48.91%EV -7.74% E -4.12% K -8.80% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 51.09%EV -8.33% E -4.63% K -10.42% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-08 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerPittsburgh Pirates (Local)Atlanta Braves (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00% NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00% NM 50.00%0.0%2026-07-08 18:15
Polymarket1.96I 51.02% NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00% NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-08 19:10
Novig1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-08 19:39
Smarkets1.86I 53.76% NM 48.90%1.78I 56.18% NM 51.10%9.9%2026-07-08 19:35