默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间: 2026-07-09 16:36 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 5–10 Atlanta Braves

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 49.76%2.01公平赔率
EV -0.478%
优势 -0.239%
Kelly -0.478%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
48.40%49.64%49.74%50.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.861.931.922.0053.76%51.87%52.08%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 50.24%1.99公平赔率
EV -1.53%
优势 -0.782%
Kelly -1.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
49.74%50.36%50.26%51.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.891.901.9655.25%52.95%52.77%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):49.76%;Atlanta Braves (客队):50.24%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.00,期望值为-0.478%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -0.478%E -0.239%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:25
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.53%E -0.782%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 16:05
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:24
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:25
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:25
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 15:45
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:35
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 14:50
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:24
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.53%E -0.782%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 15:45
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.07%E -5.01%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 15:48
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:04
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:09
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:59
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 14:54
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.56%E -3.52%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.95%E -3.15%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 16:08
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-07-09 16:34
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-09 16:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-09 16:15
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-07-09 16:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-07-09 16:00
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-07-09 16:35