Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-03-26 20:18 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 59.33%1.69odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.909%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%59.30%59.30%60.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.611.611.6666.67%62.05%62.11%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 40.67%2.46odd justa
EV -0.363%
Vantagem -0.148%
Kelly -0.251%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.15%40.70%40.70%42.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.82%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 59.33%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 40.67%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.45, com valor esperado de -0.363%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 20:00
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 20:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 20:15
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.18%E -0.484%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-26 20:14
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-26 20:14
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-26 20:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:14
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:14
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 20:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 20:13
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 20:15
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:13
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 20:14
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.363%E -0.148%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 20:14
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:15
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 20:12
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.363%E -0.148%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 20:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:15
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -0.770%E -0.316%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:13
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.00%E -7.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.00%E -7.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 20:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-26 20:15
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-03-26 20:15