L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 20:18 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 59.33%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.909%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%59.30%59.30%60.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.611.6666.67%62.05%62.11%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.67%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.363%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.251%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.15%40.70%40.70%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.82%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 20:00
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 20:14
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 20:15
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 20:15
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.18%E -0.484%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-26 20:14
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-26 20:14
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-26 20:14
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:14
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:14
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 20:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:15
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:13
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:15
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 20:13
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 20:15
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:13
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 20:14
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 20:14
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.363%E -0.148%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 20:14
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:15
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 20:12
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.363%E -0.148%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 20:14
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:15
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -0.770%E -0.316%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:13
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.00%E -7.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.00%E -7.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 20:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-26 20:15
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-03-26 20:15