La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-03-26 20:18 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 59.33%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.909%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%59.30%59.30%60.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.611.6666.67%62.05%62.11%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 40.67%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.363%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.251%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.15%40.70%40.70%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.82%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 20:00
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 20:14
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 20:15
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.51%E -0.909%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 20:15
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.18%E -0.484%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-26 20:14
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-26 20:14
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-26 20:14
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:15
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 20:14
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:14
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:14
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 20:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:15
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:13
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:15
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 20:13
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 20:15
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:13
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 20:14
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 20:14
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.363%E -0.148%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 20:14
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:15
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 20:12
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.363%E -0.148%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 20:14
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 20:14
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:15
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -0.770%E -0.316%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 20:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:14
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.40%E -0.999%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 20:13
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.00%E -7.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.00%E -7.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 20:13
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-03-26 20:15
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-03-26 20:15
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-26 20:15
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-26 20:14
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-03-26 20:15