Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 64.39%1.55fair odd
EV -0.189%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.343%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%64.25%64.34%65.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5570.42%66.84%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV -0.304%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.169%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.68%35.75%35.66%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.642.652.8041.15%37.93%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 64.39%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 35.61%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.553. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.550, with an expected value of -0.189%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.189%E -0.122%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.48%E -0.965%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.80%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.48%E -0.965%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -2.12%E -1.40%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -2.12%E -1.40%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV -2.76%E -1.83%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -0.660%E -0.237%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -2.76%E -1.83%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -4.93%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -0.304%E -0.109%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -0.304%E -0.109%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -0.304%E -0.109%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 17:37 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.44%E -0.891%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 18:18 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.15%E -1.16%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.73%E -0.626%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.22%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.93%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.34%E -3.63%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.34%E -3.63%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.34%E -3.63%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.34%E -3.63%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.34%E -3.63%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.98%E -4.10%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 18:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-27 18:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.27%E -5.05%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.27%E -5.05%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 18:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -8.56%E -6.03%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 17:34 |