Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-27 19:05 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 56.19%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.624%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.32%56.25%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.701.701.7662.50%58.95%58.82%56.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.81%2.28cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.887%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%43.68%43.75%45.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.182.162.3348.78%45.91%46.30%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 56.19% ; Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur) : 43.81%. Pour Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.28. 6 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.33, pour une espérance positive de +2.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +2.07%E +0.887%K +1.55%G +0.032%2.1%2026-09-27 03:15
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +1.63%E +0.702%K +1.23%G +0.020%4.1%2026-09-27 03:00
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -8.40%E -5.16%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +1.63%E +0.702%K +1.23%G +0.020%4.5%2026-09-27 02:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +1.19%E +0.515%K +0.909%G +0.011%2.5%2026-09-27 03:15
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV +0.752%E +0.327%K +0.579%G +0.004%2.6%2026-09-27 03:14
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.09%E -6.31%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.752%E +0.327%K +0.579%G +0.004%6.0%2026-09-27 03:00
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -9.53%E -5.92%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -0.562%E -0.248%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 02:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 02:00
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.10%E -0.624%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-27 03:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.66%E -0.948%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-27 03:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.91%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 02:59
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 03:15
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.91%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 02:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.91%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 03:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.91%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 03:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 02:59
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 03:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 02:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.72%E -4.05%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.50%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.50%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 03:00
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.38%E -2.49%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 02:59
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.38%E -2.49%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 03:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.38%E -2.49%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 03:14
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.91%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 03:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.91%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 22:54
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:55
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:55
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 03:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 02:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 02:59
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 02:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 01:05
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:05
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:05
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:02
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.91%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.26%E -2.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 03:00
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.13%E -3.36%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.01%E -3.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 22:55
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.01%E -3.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.01%E -3.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.01%E -3.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.01%E -3.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 03:15
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -9.76%E -4.74%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-27 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.20%E -4.98%K -9.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 03:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-09-27 03:15
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-27 02:45
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-27 03:05
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-27 03:15
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-09-27 02:55
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%8.4%2026-09-27 03:00
Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +0.26%1xBet 1.76 (57.0%) / GTbets 2.33 (43.0%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur)Marge
1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)GTbets🎯 2.33 (43.0%)+0.264%
1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.9%)FanDuel🎯 2.32 (43.1%)+0.078%
1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.9%)Bovada🎯 2.32 (43.1%)+0.078%