The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-23 17:35 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 65.54%1.53fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.53%65.57%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 34.46%2.90fair odd
EV +0.980%
Edge +0.335%
Kelly +0.508%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.47%34.43%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9338.46%36.20%36.36%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.54%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 34.46%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.93, producing a positive expected value of +0.980%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.980%E +0.335%K +0.508%G +0.005%2.2%2026-08-23 01:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -1.70%E -1.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV -0.054%E -0.019%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-22 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.398%E -0.138%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 01:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.398%E -0.138%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -0.743%E -0.258%K -0.395%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-22 22:49
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.78%E -0.623%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-23 01:09
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.70%E -1.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.12%E -0.747%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.12%E -0.747%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 22:45
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -2.81%E -0.997%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -3.16%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:14
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:49
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:49
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.19%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -6.28%E -4.39%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -4.19%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -4.53%E -1.64%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 01:14
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 20:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 22:45
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:35
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 20:59
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.28%E -4.39%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.28%E -4.39%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:04
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:45
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.32%E -2.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 22:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.32%E -2.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 20:34
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 22:43
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 22:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 22:40
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.64%E -2.85%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:30
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.64%E -2.85%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.67%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.01%E -2.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.67%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:49
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.25%E -5.89%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.67%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.28%E -4.39%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.39%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.28%E -4.39%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.39%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-23 00:25
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-08-23 00:25
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%3.5%2026-08-22 22:55
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 65.20%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.80%8.0%2026-08-23 01:40

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