Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-23 17:35 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 65.44%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.37%65.52%66.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.59%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 34.56%2.89momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.434%
Kelly +0.659%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%34.63%34.48%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.752.9339.22%36.35%36.36%34.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.44%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 34.56%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.89. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.93, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.27%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +1.27%E +0.434%K +0.659%G +0.008%2.2%2026-08-23 01:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -1.85%E -1.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +0.234%E +0.081%K +0.123%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-22 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.112%E -0.039%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 01:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.112%E -0.039%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -0.457%E -0.159%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-22 22:49
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.49%E -0.524%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-23 01:09
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.85%E -1.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -1.84%E -0.648%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -1.84%E -0.648%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 22:45
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -2.53%E -0.897%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.897%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 02:24
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:14
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:49
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.77%E -4.01%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.77%E -4.01%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:49
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.43%E -4.49%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 02:50
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.91%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -6.43%E -4.49%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -3.91%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 22:40
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.85%E -1.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 02:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 21:00
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:35
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.77%E -4.01%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.43%E -4.49%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.43%E -4.49%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.08%E -4.99%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.95%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.50%E -1.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.99%E -2.20%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 02:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.68%E -2.47%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 02:25
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.68%E -2.47%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.77%E -4.01%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.68%E -2.47%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 22:40
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.37%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:30
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.37%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.41%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.41%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.41%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 02:22
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.41%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 02:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.41%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 02:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.81%E -2.59%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.41%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 02:59
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.39%E -5.99%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.41%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 01:04
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.44%E -3.60%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 02:23
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.44%E -3.60%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 02:23
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.85%E -1.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.13%E -3.90%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 02:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.12%E -3.53%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.86%E -4.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.77%E -4.01%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.86%E -4.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 02:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-23 00:25
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-08-23 00:25
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%3.5%2026-08-22 22:55
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%7.0%2026-08-23 02:55

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