Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 46.88%2.13fair odd
EV -0.607%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.91%46.83%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.042.052.1252.63%49.09%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 53.12%1.88fair odd
EV -0.672%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.772%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.09%53.17%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8758.14%55.87%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 46.88%; New York Yankees (Visit): 53.12%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -0.607%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.607%E -0.287%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 22:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.08%E -0.510%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.55%E -0.736%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.55%E -0.736%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.58%E -4.35%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.01%E -0.964%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.01%E -0.964%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.20%E -0.647%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.20%E -0.647%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 12:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.83%E -2.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-25 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.58%E -4.35%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 21:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.672%E -0.359%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.92%E -5.75%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.64%E -5.02%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 22:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 18:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
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