Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees

2026-07-25 22:06 UTC — MLB

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Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 47.97%2.08fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -3.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.37%47.92%48.03%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.881.961.982.0153%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 52.03%1.92fair odd

EV -0.632%

Edge -0.331%

Kelly -0.694%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%52.08%51.97%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.741.831.831.9157%55%55%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.632%E -0.331%K -0.694%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-24 18:50
FanDuel	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.42%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-24 18:00
Fanatics	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-24 17:59
PointsBet (AU)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-24 18:00
Hard Rock Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-24 19:49
888sport	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-24 18:05
Mr Green (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-24 18:05
888sport (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-24 18:05
Unibet (UK)	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-24 18:00
Bet Right	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-24 18:10
Betr (AU)	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-24 18:05
PlayUp	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-24 18:10
SportsBet	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.97%E -3.05%K -6.22%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-24 18:00
Betclic (FR)	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.97%E -3.05%K -6.22%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.31%E -2.92%K -6.48%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-24 18:04
Winamax (DE)	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.97%E -3.05%K -6.22%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.31%E -2.92%K -6.48%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-24 18:10
betano_uk	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-24 17:59
Bet Victor	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-24 18:03
Fliff	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.37%E -4.38%K -9.20%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.632%E -0.331%K -0.694%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-24 18:10
ReBet	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.37%E -4.38%K -9.20%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-24 18:00
Paddy Power	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.85%E -4.66%K -9.83%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.606%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-24 17:59
Unibet (FR)	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.81%E -5.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.44%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-24 17:59
Winamax (FR)	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.81%E -5.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.48%E -5.45%K -12.81%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-24 18:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	1.0%	2026-07-24 18:35
Polymarket	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	1.0%	2026-07-24 19:00
Smarkets	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%	10.0%	2026-07-24 18:00