مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-07-25 22:06 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.88%2.13السعر العادل
EV -0.607%
الأفضلية -0.287%
Kelly -0.542%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.31%46.91%46.83%48.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.042.052.1252.63%49.09%48.78%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.12%1.88السعر العادل
EV -0.672%
الأفضلية -0.359%
Kelly -0.772%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.05%53.09%53.17%54.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.791.801.8758.14%55.87%55.56%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.607%E -0.287%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 22:04
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.08%E -0.510%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 22:05
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.55%E -0.736%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 20:15
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.55%E -0.736%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.58%E -4.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 22:05
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.01%E -0.964%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:15
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.01%E -0.964%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:15
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 22:00
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 15:25
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.20%E -0.647%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 21:50
Everygame2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.20%E -0.647%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 21:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 21:50
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 21:50
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:25
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:50
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:50
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:50
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:50
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:50
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:50
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 21:50
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 21:50
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 12:24
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 15:20
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 18:25
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 13:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 14:00
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 20:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 13:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 13:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 13:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 18:25
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 20:15
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:04
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 21:50
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.83%E -2.38%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 21:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 22:05
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:15
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:15
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 19:19
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 21:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 22:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 21:55
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 22:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.33%E -1.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 22:05
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.58%E -4.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 21:39
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.672%E -0.359%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 20:50
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 21:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 21:55
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.92%E -5.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.64%E -5.02%K -12.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 22:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-25 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-25 22:05
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-07-25 22:05
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-25 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-25 22:05
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-07-25 22:04
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-25 18:25
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-25 21:45
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-25 22:05
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-07-25 22:05