Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 60.54%1.65fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.813%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.46%60.53%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.36%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 39.46%2.53fair odd
EV -0.553%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.364%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%39.54%39.47%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5245.45%41.54%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 60.54%; New York Mets (Visit): 39.46%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -0.553%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.32%E -0.813%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.553%E -0.219%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.948%E -0.378%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.53%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 19:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 19:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.71%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -2.53%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.23%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.23%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.23%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.77%E -4.40%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -6.77%E -4.40%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.18%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.82%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 16:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.98%E -5.25%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-07-18 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |