A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

Início: 2026-07-18 19:06 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 6–1 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 60.54%1.65odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.813%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%60.46%60.53%61.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.36%63.69%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 39.46%2.53odd justa
EV -0.553%
Vantagem -0.219%
Kelly -0.364%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.12%39.54%39.47%41.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.412.402.5245.45%41.54%41.67%39.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.32%E -0.813%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 17:45
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:55
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.553%E -0.219%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 18:55
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.948%E -0.378%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 19:00
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 19:00
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.53%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 19:00
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 17:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 19:04
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 18:54
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:05
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 16:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 16:20
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:50
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 19:03
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.71%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:50
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 17:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 17:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:40
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:40
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:49
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 16:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:25
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 18:55
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 16:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -2.53%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 16:55
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:04
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.56%E -3.57%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:55
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 16:55
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.23%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.23%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 19:05
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.23%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 18:54
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.77%E -4.40%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.34%E -0.537%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -6.77%E -4.40%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.18%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 19:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.82%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 16:40
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.98%E -5.25%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-07-18 19:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-18 19:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-18 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-07-18 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-07-18 19:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-18 17:20
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-18 19:05
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-07-18 19:05
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%4.1%2026-07-18 19:05