Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.55%61.69%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.6067.57%64.98%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 38.29%2.61fair odd
EV -0.442%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.45%38.31%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.6043.48%39.82%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 61.71%; New York Mets (Visit): 38.29%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.442%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -1.27%E -0.792%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -3.50%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.27%E -0.792%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.21%E -0.468%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.89%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.825%E -0.318%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.59%E -0.619%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.59%E -0.619%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.59%E -0.619%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-21 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.42%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.442%E -0.170%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.04%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.04%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.442%E -0.170%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.21%E -0.468%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 21:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.48%E -3.55%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 20:57 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.05%E -5.41%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.442%E -0.170%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-06-21 23:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56% | 2.0% | 2026-06-21 23:19 |