مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

البداية: 2026-06-21 23:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 6–2 New York Mets

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.71%1.62السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.792%
Kelly -2.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.74%61.55%61.69%63.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.541.541.6067.57%64.98%64.94%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Mets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.29%2.61السعر العادل
EV -0.442%
الأفضلية -0.170%
Kelly -0.276%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.27%38.45%38.31%40.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.512.502.6043.48%39.82%40.00%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -1.27%E -0.792%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -3.50%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.27%E -0.792%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 23:20
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.21%E -0.468%K -0.764%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 15:19
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.89%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-21 23:20
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.825%E -0.318%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.59%E -0.619%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-21 23:19
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.59%E -0.619%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-21 23:19
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.59%E -0.619%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-21 23:09
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-21 23:19
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:19
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 23:19
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 23:00
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 23:19
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 23:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 23:19
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.42%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.01%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 23:19
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:09
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 14:10
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 23:19
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.442%E -0.170%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-21 23:00
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 23:09
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 23:10
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 23:10
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 23:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.04%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:19
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.04%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.442%E -0.170%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 20:30
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.21%E -0.468%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 23:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:19
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:09
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 16:19
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:10
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 15:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 15:19
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 15:29
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 21:00
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 19:50
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 21:00
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:00
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:00
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:00
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 21:00
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:00
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:00
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.48%E -3.55%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 14:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 20:57
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.05%E -5.41%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.442%E -0.170%K -0.276%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-06-21 23:20
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-21 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-21 23:20
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-21 22:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-21 23:20
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-06-21 23:20
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-21 23:20
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-06-21 23:20
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%2.0%2026-06-21 23:19