Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-06-17 17:06 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 4–12 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 52.47%1.91odd justa
EV -0.307%
Vantagem -0.161%
Kelly -0.341%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%52.44%52.49%53.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.821.811.9056.82%54.93%55.10%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 47.53%2.10odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.547%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.60%47.56%47.51%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.012.002.0852.63%49.70%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 52.47%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 47.53%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.90, com valor esperado de -0.307%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.307%E -0.161%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.46%E -2.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.36%E -0.721%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 16:40
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.36%E -0.721%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:50
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.88%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 15:10
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.88%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.69%E -5.10%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 16:59
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 15:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.14%E -0.547%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 15:09
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 14:40
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.42%E -2.72%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.13%E -4.03%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.65%E -4.35%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.65%E -4.35%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 17:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:50
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-17 14:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-17 15:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-06-17 16:20