La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-06-17 17:06 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 4–12 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 52.47%1.91quota equa
EV -0.307%
Vantaggio -0.161%
Kelly -0.341%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.53%52.44%52.49%53.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.821.811.9056.82%54.93%55.10%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.53%2.10quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.547%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.60%47.56%47.51%49.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.012.002.0852.63%49.70%50.00%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.307%E -0.161%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.46%E -2.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:50
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.36%E -0.721%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 16:40
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.36%E -0.721%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:50
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.88%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 15:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.88%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:40
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.69%E -5.10%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 16:59
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 15:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:50
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.14%E -0.547%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 16:50
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 15:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 15:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 15:09
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 15:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:40
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 14:40
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.42%E -2.72%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.13%E -4.03%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.65%E -4.35%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.65%E -4.35%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 17:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:50
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-17 14:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-17 15:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-06-17 16:20