مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-06-17 17:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 4–12 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.47%1.91السعر العادل
EV -0.307%
الأفضلية -0.161%
Kelly -0.341%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.53%52.44%52.49%53.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.761.821.811.9056.82%54.93%55.10%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.53%2.10السعر العادل
EV -1.14%
الأفضلية -0.547%
Kelly -1.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.60%47.56%47.51%49.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.012.002.0852.63%49.70%50.00%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.307%E -0.161%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.46%E -2.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.831%E -0.440%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:50
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.36%E -0.721%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 16:40
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.36%E -0.721%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:50
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.88%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 15:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.88%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:40
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.93%E -1.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.69%E -5.10%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 16:59
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 15:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:50
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.98%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.14%E -0.547%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 16:50
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 15:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 15:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.50%E -2.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 15:09
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 15:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:40
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.56%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.55%E -3.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 14:40
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.08%E -3.40%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.42%E -2.72%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.13%E -4.03%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.65%E -4.35%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.65%E -4.35%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 17:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-17 16:50
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-06-17 17:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-17 14:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-17 15:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-17 17:00
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-06-17 16:20