Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 55.81%1.79fair odd
EV +0.455%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.569%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.82%55.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.711.8061.35%58.31%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV -0.127%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.101%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.18%44.30%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.162.2650.00%46.26%46.40%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 55.81%; Houston Astros (Visit): 44.19%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.455%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.455%E +0.253%K +0.569%G +0.003% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 22:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-08 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -0.661%E -0.371%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.22%E -0.689%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-08 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 21:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.127%E -0.056%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 23:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-08 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-08 21:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 12:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 21:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.64%E -3.66%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 22:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |