Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros

Początek: 2026-09-08 22:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Philadelphia Phillies 5–6 Houston Astros

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.81%1.79kurs godziwy
EV +0.455%
Przewaga +0.253%
Kelly +0.569%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.63%55.82%55.70%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.631.711.711.8061.35%58.31%58.48%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Houston Astros (Goście)

Prognoza 44.19%2.26kurs godziwy
EV -0.127%
Przewaga -0.056%
Kelly -0.101%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.86%44.18%44.30%47.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.162.162.2650.00%46.26%46.40%44.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 55.81%; Houston Astros (Goście): 44.19%. Dla wyniku Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.79. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.455%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.455%E +0.253%K +0.569%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 22:19
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 21:45
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 21:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.103%E -0.057%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -0.661%E -0.371%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 22:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.22%E -0.689%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-08 21:55
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 22:05
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 21:10
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.127%E -0.056%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 23:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 21:29
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 21:28
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 21:50
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 21:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 20:25
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 12:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 20:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 07:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 21:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 19:35
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:34
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:49
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:39
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 20:25
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 22:49
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:25
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:25
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 19:55
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:34
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 21:45
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.64%E -3.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 20:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-09-08 22:20
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-08 22:09
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-08 20:10
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-08 20:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-08 22:15
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:10
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-09-08 22:10