La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-05-19 22:41 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 1–4 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 56.28%1.78quota equa
EV -0.954%
Vantaggio -0.542%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.69%56.24%56.33%57.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.77%58.82%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.72%2.29quota equa
EV -1.62%
Vantaggio -0.721%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.71%43.76%43.67%45.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.81%45.87%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -0.954%E -0.542%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 21:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.52%E -0.867%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 19:00
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 18:59
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:38
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 19:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 21:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 19:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 20:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-19 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 12:49
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 19:40
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 20:40
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 19:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 15:30
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 19:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 19:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 14:58
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 19:10
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.06%E -0.919%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 22:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:38
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:39
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.06%E -0.919%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 19:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:09
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-19 22:39
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%0.1%2026-05-19 22:39
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 19:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-05-19 22:39