L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 22:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 1–4 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 56.28%1.78cote équitable
EV -0.954%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%56.24%56.33%57.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.77%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.72%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.721%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.71%43.76%43.67%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.81%45.87%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -0.954%E -0.542%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 21:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.52%E -0.867%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 19:00
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 18:59
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:38
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 19:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 21:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 19:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 20:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-19 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 12:49
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 19:40
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 20:40
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 19:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 15:30
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 19:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 19:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 14:58
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 19:10
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.06%E -0.919%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 22:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:38
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:39
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.06%E -0.919%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 19:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:09
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-19 22:39
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%0.1%2026-05-19 22:39
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 19:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-05-19 22:39