مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-05-19 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 1–4 Cincinnati Reds

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.28%1.78السعر العادل
EV -0.954%
الأفضلية -0.542%
Kelly -1.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.69%56.24%56.33%57.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.77%58.82%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.72%2.29السعر العادل
EV -1.62%
الأفضلية -0.721%
Kelly -1.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.71%43.76%43.67%45.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.81%45.87%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -0.954%E -0.542%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 21:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.52%E -0.867%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 19:00
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 18:59
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:38
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 19:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 21:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 19:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 20:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-19 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 12:49
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 19:40
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 20:40
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 19:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 15:30
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 19:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 19:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 19:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 14:58
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 19:10
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.06%E -0.919%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 22:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:38
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:39
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.06%E -0.919%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 19:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 12:09
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-19 22:39
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%0.1%2026-05-19 22:39
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 19:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-05-19 22:39