A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 5–4 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 52.81%1.89odd justa
EV -0.716%
Vantagem -0.381%
Kelly -0.814%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.06%52.61%52.82%53.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.771.821.811.8856.50%54.86%55.10%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 47.19%2.12odd justa
EV -0.902%
Vantagem -0.430%
Kelly -0.820%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%47.39%47.18%48.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.932.012.002.1051.81%49.82%50.00%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.716%E -0.381%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 22:20
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:20
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 19:14
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -1.77%E -0.953%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 20:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 20:25
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:24
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:24
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 22:35
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-18 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.85%E -0.887%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:35
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.85%E -0.887%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 22:40
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.902%E -0.430%K -0.820%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:35
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.902%E -0.430%K -0.820%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:35
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 22:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:15
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.56%E -3.32%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 22:40
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 22:35
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:24
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 22:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:15
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:15
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:15
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:30
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:39
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.15%E -2.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 20:04
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:30
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.21%E -2.07%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:35
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:39
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:39
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.56%E -3.32%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:15
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-05-18 22:39
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%2.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-18 22:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%3.7%2026-05-18 22:40