La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 52.81%1.89momio equitativo
EV -0.716%
Ventaja -0.381%
Kelly -0.814%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.06%52.61%52.82%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.821.811.8856.50%54.86%55.10%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 47.19%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.902%
Ventaja -0.430%
Kelly -0.820%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%47.39%47.18%48.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.012.002.1051.81%49.82%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.716%E -0.381%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-18 22:20 |
| ReBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 22:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -1.77%E -0.953%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 20:25 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:24 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 22:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| GTbets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.85%E -0.887%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.85%E -0.887%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.902%E -0.430%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.902%E -0.430%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.56%E -3.32%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 22:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:29 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 22:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.15%E -2.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 19:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 19:10 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 20:04 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.21%E -2.07%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 22:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.56%E -3.32%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | -0.0% | 2026-05-18 22:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 0.1% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29% | 3.7% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |