L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 22:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 5–4 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 52.81%1.89cote équitable
EV -0.716%
Avantage -0.381%
Kelly -0.814%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.06%52.61%52.82%53.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.821.811.8856.50%54.86%55.10%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.19%2.12cote équitable
EV -0.902%
Avantage -0.430%
Kelly -0.820%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%47.39%47.18%48.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.012.002.1051.81%49.82%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.716%E -0.381%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 22:20
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:20
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 19:14
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.24%E -0.665%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -1.77%E -0.953%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 20:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 20:25
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:24
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:24
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 22:35
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-18 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.85%E -0.887%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:35
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.85%E -0.887%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 22:40
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.902%E -0.430%K -0.820%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:35
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.902%E -0.430%K -0.820%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:35
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 22:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:15
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.56%E -3.32%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 22:40
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 22:35
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:24
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 22:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:15
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:15
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:15
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:30
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:39
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.15%E -2.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 20:04
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:30
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.21%E -2.07%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:35
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:39
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:39
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.56%E -3.32%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:15
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-05-18 22:39
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%2.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-18 22:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%3.7%2026-05-18 22:40