Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs

Początek: 2026-04-13 22:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Philadelphia Phillies 13–7 Chicago Cubs

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.03%1.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.13%
Przewaga -0.697%
Kelly -1.82%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.00%61.12%60.76%63.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.21%64.52%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Chicago Cubs (Goście)

Prognoza 38.97%2.57kurs godziwy
EV +1.32%
Przewaga +0.507%
Kelly +0.824%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.59%38.88%39.24%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.372.472.502.6042.19%40.42%40.00%38.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 61.03%; Chicago Cubs (Goście): 38.97%. Dla wyniku Chicago Cubs (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.57. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.60, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.32%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.45%E -5.64%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.32%E +0.507%K +0.824%G +0.011%5.1%2026-04-12 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 22:25
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.45%E -5.64%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 14:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.35%E -1.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.41%E -0.557%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -1.41%E -0.557%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:09
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:05
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:05
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:24
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 14:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:30
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 22:33
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.13%E -0.697%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -3.75%E -1.52%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 22:35
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -4.14%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:33
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:34
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 22:34
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 22:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 22:40
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.70%E -2.35%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:39
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.35%E -1.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 22:04
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.64%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 22:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.64%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 22:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-13 22:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-13 22:25
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-13 22:40
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-13 22:40
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-13 22:39
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-13 22:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-04-13 22:40