Langue:Français
Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prévision 61.03%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.697%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.00%61.12%60.76%63.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.21%64.52%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.97%2.57cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.507%
Kelly +0.824%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%38.88%39.24%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.372.472.502.6042.19%40.42%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 61.03% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 38.97%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.57. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.45%E -5.64%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.32%E +0.507%K +0.824%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.45%E -5.64%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.35%E -1.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.41%E -0.557%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -1.41%E -0.557%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 22:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.13%E -0.697%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -3.75%E -1.52%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -4.14%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 22:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.70%E -2.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.35%E -1.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.64%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.64%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |