مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-04-13 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 13–7 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.03%1.64السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.697%
Kelly -1.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.00%61.12%60.76%63.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.21%64.52%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.97%2.57السعر العادل
EV +1.32%
الأفضلية +0.507%
Kelly +0.824%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.59%38.88%39.24%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.372.472.502.6042.19%40.42%40.00%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.45%E -5.64%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.32%E +0.507%K +0.824%G +0.011%5.1%2026-04-12 19:34
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 22:24
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 22:25
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 20:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.45%E -5.64%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.630%E -0.247%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 14:45
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.35%E -1.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.41%E -0.557%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 16:10
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -1.41%E -0.557%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:09
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 22:39
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:05
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:05
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:24
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:09
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 15:14
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:10
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:25
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 14:39
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:30
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 22:40
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 22:33
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.13%E -0.697%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -3.75%E -1.52%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 22:35
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -4.14%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:34
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:33
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:34
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 22:09
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 22:34
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:40
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 22:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 22:40
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.70%E -2.35%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:39
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.35%E -1.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 22:04
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:39
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 22:34
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 22:40
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.64%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 22:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.64%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 22:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-13 22:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-13 22:25
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-13 22:40
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-13 22:40
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-13 22:39
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-13 22:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-04-13 22:40