A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-04-15 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 2–11 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 55.89%1.79odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.929%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.48%55.74%55.93%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.711.711.7660.61%58.51%58.48%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 44.11%2.27odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.732%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.26%44.07%46.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.172.172.2350.00%46.15%45.98%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.07%E -0.934%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 21:14
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 22:39
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 22:39
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 17:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.07%E -0.934%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 22:39
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 06:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:59
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.78%E -5.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 22:39
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 20:33
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 20:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 18:59
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 21:14
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 22:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 03:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 20:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 20:29
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 18:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:37
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 12:05
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 19:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 17:01
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 20:30
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 20:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:40
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:09
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:05
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:14
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:14
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:14
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 22:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 20:29
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 05:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-15 22:39
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-04-15 22:34
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-15 21:29
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-15 21:59
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-04-15 22:39