مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-04-15 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 2–11 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.89%1.79السعر العادل
EV -1.64%
الأفضلية -0.929%
Kelly -2.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.48%55.74%55.93%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.711.711.7660.61%58.51%58.48%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.11%2.27السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -0.732%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.86%44.26%44.07%46.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.172.172.2350.00%46.15%45.98%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.07%E -0.934%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 21:14
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 22:39
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 22:39
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 17:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.07%E -0.934%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 22:39
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 06:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:59
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.78%E -5.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 22:39
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 20:33
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 20:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 18:59
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 21:14
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 22:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 03:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 20:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 20:29
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 18:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:37
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 12:05
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 19:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 17:01
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 20:30
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 20:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:40
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:09
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:05
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:04
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:14
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:14
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:14
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 22:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 20:29
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 05:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-15 22:39
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-04-15 22:34
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-15 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-15 21:29
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-15 21:59
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-04-15 22:39