La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 55.89%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%55.74%55.93%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7660.61%58.51%58.48%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 44.11%2.27momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.26%44.07%46.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.172.2350.00%46.15%45.98%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.07%E -0.934%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.64%E -0.929%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.07%E -0.934%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 06:20 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.78%E -5.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 20:33 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 20:39 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.63%E -0.732%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 22:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 03:19 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 20:30 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 20:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 20:29 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:37 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 20:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.28%E -1.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 18:25 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 18:25 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 18:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:09 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:04 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:05 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.11%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 21:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 05:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Novig | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 22:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 22:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 21:29 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |