Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 23:16 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 1–3 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 52.36%1.91fair odd
EV +0.010%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.011%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.52%52.29%54.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.821.9158.14%54.95%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 47.64%2.10fair odd
EV +0.041%
Edge +0.020%
Kelly +0.038%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.50%47.48%47.71%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.86%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 52.36%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 47.64%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.099. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.041%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.041%E +0.020%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 22:44
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.86%E -0.905%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -9.94%E -5.78%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -1.86%E -0.905%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 23:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.56%E -0.830%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 22:45
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.84%E -4.46%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.42%E -5.44%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:15
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.56%E -0.830%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.13%E -1.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.04%E -0.549%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 12:55
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.27%E -3.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.27%E -3.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:18
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.13%E -1.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 21:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.23%E -2.89%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 22:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 23:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.14%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.20%E -2.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 23:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:14
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 22:40
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.89%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.44%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-18 23:15
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-04-18 23:15
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-18 23:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-18 23:15
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-04-18 21:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-04-18 23:15