La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-04-18 23:16 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 1–3 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 52.36%1.91momio equitativo
EV +0.010%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.011%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%52.52%52.29%54.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.821.9158.14%54.95%54.95%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 47.64%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.041%
Ventaja +0.020%
Kelly +0.038%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.50%47.48%47.71%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.86%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.041%E +0.020%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 22:44
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.86%E -0.905%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 23:05
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -9.94%E -5.78%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -1.86%E -0.905%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 23:15
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.56%E -0.830%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 22:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.84%E -4.46%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 23:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.42%E -5.44%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:15
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.56%E -0.830%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 23:09
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.13%E -1.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.04%E -0.549%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:55
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:50
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:20
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 12:55
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.27%E -3.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:20
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.27%E -3.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:18
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 21:24
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.13%E -1.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 23:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 21:15
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:24
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:40
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.23%E -2.89%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 22:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 23:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.14%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.20%E -2.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 23:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 22:40
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.89%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.44%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-18 23:15
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-04-18 23:15
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-18 23:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-18 23:15
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-04-18 21:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-04-18 23:15