Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 51.45%1.94fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.40%51.59%52.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9255.56%53.58%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 48.55%2.06fair odd
EV -0.480%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.457%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%48.60%48.41%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.17%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 51.45%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 48.55%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -0.480%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.42%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.76%E -4.09%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.36%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.65%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.65%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.480%E -0.234%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 05:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.31%E -3.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.76%E -4.09%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 04:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.16%E -6.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.35%E -3.49%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.87%E -3.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.31%E -3.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 02:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 02:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |