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Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.45%1.94справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.21%
Преимущество -0.630%
Kelly -1.31%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.92
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.00%51.40%51.59%52.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.871.871.9255.56%53.58%53.48%52.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Atlanta Braves (Гости)
Прогноз 48.55%2.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.480%
Преимущество -0.234%
Kelly -0.457%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.12%48.60%48.41%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.17%51.28%48.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 51.45%; Atlanta Braves (Гости): 48.55%. Для исхода «Atlanta Braves (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.06. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.05, математическое ожидание — -0.480%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.42%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.902%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.76%E -4.09%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.36%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.45%E -0.715%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.65%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.65%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.480%E -0.234%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 05:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.31%E -3.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.76%E -4.09%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 04:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.16%E -6.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.35%E -3.49%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.87%E -3.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.31%E -3.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 02:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 02:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |