L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Athletics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 9–1 Athletics

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 64.59%1.55cote équitable
EV -0.539%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.997%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%64.38%64.58%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.481.5471.43%67.34%67.57%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletics (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.41%2.82cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.571%
Kelly +0.877%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%35.62%35.42%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.682.652.8740.82%37.29%37.74%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +1.64%E +0.571%K +0.877%G +0.014%2.4%2026-05-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.29%E +0.450%K +0.691%G +0.009%2.5%2026-05-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.29%E +0.450%K +0.691%G +0.009%2.5%2026-05-05 21:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.131%E -0.046%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:20
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.131%E -0.046%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 22:35
Everygame1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.77%E -2.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 22:30
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:25
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:35
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 22:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.58%E -6.84%K -23.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -1.55%E -0.557%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 22:38
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.71%E -3.91%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.55%E -0.557%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:39
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.55%E -0.557%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:24
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:10
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:55
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.18%E -0.774%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -3.32%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 20:29
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:30
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 20:45
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:35
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:30
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:34
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:35
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.18%E -0.774%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 20:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 20:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 20:30
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 20:29
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:35
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 20:34
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 20:30
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:45
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:44
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -8.98%E -3.50%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -0.539%E -0.350%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.18%E -0.774%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.23%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.23%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-05-05 22:35
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-05 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-05 22:30
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-05 21:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-05 22:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-05-05 22:40