La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 9–1 Athletics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 64.59%1.55momio equitativo
EV -0.539%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.997%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.56%64.38%64.58%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.481.5471.43%67.34%67.57%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 35.41%2.82momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.571%
Kelly +0.877%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.62%35.42%38.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.682.652.8740.82%37.29%37.74%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +1.64%E +0.571%K +0.877%G +0.014%2.4%2026-05-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.29%E +0.450%K +0.691%G +0.009%2.5%2026-05-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.29%E +0.450%K +0.691%G +0.009%2.5%2026-05-05 21:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.131%E -0.046%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:20
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.131%E -0.046%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 22:35
Everygame1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.77%E -2.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 22:30
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:25
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:35
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 22:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.58%E -6.84%K -23.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.839%E -0.300%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -1.55%E -0.557%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 22:38
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.71%E -3.91%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.55%E -0.557%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:39
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.55%E -0.557%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:24
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:10
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.61%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:55
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.18%E -0.774%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -3.32%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 20:29
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:30
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 20:45
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:35
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:30
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:34
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:35
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.18%E -0.774%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 20:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 20:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 20:30
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 20:29
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:35
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.06%E -3.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 20:34
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 20:30
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:45
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.12%E -2.08%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:44
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -4.41%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -8.98%E -3.50%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -0.539%E -0.350%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.18%E -0.774%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.23%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.23%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-05-05 22:35
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-05 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-05 22:30
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-05 21:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-05 22:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-05-05 22:40