Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 60.58%1.65fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%60.59%60.64%62.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6365.36%63.61%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 39.42%2.54fair odd
EV +0.516%
Edge +0.203%
Kelly +0.333%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.96%39.41%39.36%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5543.48%40.98%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 60.58%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 39.42%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.516%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.516%E +0.203%K +0.333%G +0.002%3.3%2026-05-18 22:55
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.272%E -0.107%K -0.178%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.25%E -0.768%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:45
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 23:00
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:20
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:40
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:05
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:10
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-18 23:01
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-18 20:34
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 21:30
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 22:45
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.46%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 23:00
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:45
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 21:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 21:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 22:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 20:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.58%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.58%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.37%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 22:50
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.86%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.14%0.2%2026-05-18 22:45
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-18 22:55
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 22:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 19:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-18 20:50
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-18 16:25
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-05-18 21:15