L’École des cotes

New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 23:06 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 60.58%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.768%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%60.59%60.64%62.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.571.571.6365.36%63.61%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.42%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.516%
Avantage +0.203%
Kelly +0.333%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.96%39.41%39.36%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.452.5543.48%40.98%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.516%E +0.203%K +0.333%G +0.002%3.3%2026-05-18 22:55
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.272%E -0.107%K -0.178%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.45%E -0.582%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:55
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:55
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.25%E -0.768%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:45
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:45
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 20:15
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 23:00
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 22:15
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:20
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:50
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:40
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 21:05
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 21:55
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-18 23:01
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-18 20:34
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 21:30
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 22:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 22:45
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.46%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 23:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 14:25
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 16:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:45
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:55
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:55
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 21:05
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 21:04
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 21:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 22:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 20:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.58%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 18:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.58%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.37%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 22:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.86%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.14%0.2%2026-05-18 22:45
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-18 22:55
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 22:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-18 19:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-18 20:50
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-18 16:25
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-05-18 21:15