Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–6 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 60.45%1.65fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.897%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.36%60.45%62.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6365.36%63.84%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 39.55%2.53fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.14%39.64%39.55%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.6443.48%40.98%40.82%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 60.45%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 39.55%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +4.40%E +1.67%K +2.69%G +0.118%2.0%2026-05-06 19:35
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.755%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 23:00
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.90%E -4.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 23:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:05
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.53%E -0.614%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 22:55
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.32%E -0.939%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.32%E -0.939%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.46%E -0.897%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 23:01
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 23:00
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 22:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 22:49
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.30%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 23:04
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.69%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 23:00
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:01
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 20:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:01
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 23:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-06 23:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-05-06 23:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-06 23:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-06 20:50
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-05-06 23:05
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-06 22:55
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%3.3%2026-05-06 23:04