La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-05-06 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–6 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 60.45%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.897%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%60.36%60.45%62.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.571.571.6365.36%63.84%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 39.55%2.53momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +0.118%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.14%39.64%39.55%41.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.6443.48%40.98%40.82%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +4.40%E +1.67%K +2.69%G +0.118%2.0%2026-05-06 19:35
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.755%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 23:00
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.90%E -4.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 23:05
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:05
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.53%E -0.614%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 22:55
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 23:04
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:04
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.32%E -0.939%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.32%E -0.939%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 23:04
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 23:04
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:55
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 19:55
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.46%E -0.897%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 23:01
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 23:00
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 23:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:50
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 22:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 22:49
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 23:00
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.30%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 23:04
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.69%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 23:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 22:05
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:00
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:05
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:50
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:01
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 20:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 22:45
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 23:05
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:01
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 23:05
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 23:01
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-06 23:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-05-06 23:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-06 23:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-06 20:50
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-05-06 23:05
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-06 22:55
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%3.3%2026-05-06 23:04