Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-05 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 57.89%1.73fair odd
EV -0.429%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%58.32%57.87%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.651.651.7269.44%60.71%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 42.11%2.37fair odd
EV +10.33%
Edge +3.94%
Kelly +6.37%
Growth +0.658%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%41.68%42.13%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.6247.62%44.15%44.44%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Yankees (Local): 57.89%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 42.11%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.62, producing a positive expected value of +10.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -16.64%E -11.55%K -37.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +10.33%E +3.94%K +6.37%G +0.658%7.6%2026-08-04 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.17%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:45
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.17%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:44
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.88%E -0.809%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:45
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.88%E -0.809%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:45
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.06%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:49
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:40
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -0.429%E -0.249%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 18:44
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:50
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.17%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:50
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:35
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:39
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:29
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.10%E -2.73%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:46
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:14
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:44
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:44
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.46%E -4.40%K -8.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.57%E -5.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-04 18:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-08-04 23:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%10.0%2026-08-04 22:50
Arbitrage (29 combinations) +3.83%1xBet 1.72 (60.4%) / BoyleSports 2.62 (39.6%)Show all 29 combinations
New York Yankees (Local)St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)Margin
1xBet 1.72 (60.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.6%)+3.83%
Hard Rock Bet 1.69 (60.8%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.2%)+2.73%
Caesars 1.69 (60.8%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.2%)+2.73%
theScore Bet 1.69 (60.8%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.2%)+2.73%
GTbets 1.68 (60.9%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.1%)+2.36%
BetOnline.ag 1.68 (60.9%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.1%)+2.36%
LowVig.ag 1.68 (60.9%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.1%)+2.36%
PlayUp 1.68 (60.9%)BoyleSports 2.62 (39.1%)+2.36%
PointsBet (AU) 1.67 (61.1%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
Fliff 1.67 (61.1%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
Ladbrokes (AU) 1.67 (61.1%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
Neds 1.67 (61.1%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
FanDuel 1.66 (61.2%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.8%)+1.62%
Bovada 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
Bet Right 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
Unibet (UK) 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
888sport (SE) 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
888sport 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
Mr Green (SE) 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
BetMGM 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
Ladbrokes (UK) 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
Coral 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
SportsBet 1.65 (61.4%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.6%)+1.24%
DraftKings 1.64 (61.5%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.5%)+0.864%
Betr (AU) 1.64 (61.5%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.5%)+0.864%
Winamax (DE) 1.64 (61.5%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.5%)+0.864%
Betclic (FR) 1.63 (61.6%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
Paddy Power 1.62 (61.8%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.2%)+0.104%
ReBet 1.62 (61.8%)BoyleSports 2.62 (38.2%)+0.104%