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New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 58.58%1.71fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.07%58.55%58.59%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.72%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 41.42%2.41fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +0.744%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.45%41.41%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.352.4447.62%42.98%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 58.58%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 41.42%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%EV +1.07%E +0.439%K +0.744%G +0.008% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.83%E -0.771%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.83%E -0.771%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.24%E -0.950%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.24%E -0.950%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.24%E -0.950%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -1.00%E -0.594%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 12:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 23:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.79%E -6.36%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-06 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 23:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.92% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 00:07 |