Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-06 00:15 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–3 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 58.58%1.71odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.594%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.07%58.55%58.59%59.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.72%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 41.42%2.41odd justa
EV +1.07%
Vantagem +0.439%
Kelly +0.744%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.05%41.45%41.41%42.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.332.352.4447.62%42.98%42.55%40.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 58.58%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 41.42%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.41. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.44, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%EV +1.07%E +0.439%K +0.744%G +0.008%1.6%2026-08-05 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.585%E -0.244%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:45
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:45
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.41%E -0.594%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.83%E -0.771%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 23:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.83%E -0.771%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.24%E -0.950%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.24%E -0.950%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:40
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.24%E -0.950%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 00:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -1.00%E -0.594%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 21:34
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 12:50
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 23:39
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:09
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:07
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:50
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.79%E -6.36%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:10
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-06 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-05 23:50
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 20:45
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-08-06 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-08-06 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-08-06 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-08-06 00:10
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%8.8%2026-08-06 00:00
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 57.92%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%12.1%2026-08-06 00:07