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New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 62.22%1.61fair odd
EV +7.01%
Edge +4.08%
Kelly +9.74%
Growth +0.683%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.96%62.01%62.18%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.7268.97%65.35%65.36%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 37.78%2.65fair odd
EV -0.631%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.387%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%37.99%37.82%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.212.532.552.6345.25%39.47%39.22%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 62.22%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 37.78%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV +7.01%E +4.08%K +9.74%G +0.683% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -13.85%E -6.08%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 02:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV +3.90%E +2.34%K +5.82%G +0.227% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -16.50%E -7.47%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.52%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -0.631%E -0.240%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.39%E -0.531%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.39%E -0.531%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 20:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 20:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.79%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 20:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 20:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.52%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 20:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 20:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 21:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 20:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:08 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 21:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 22:57 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.57%E -3.54%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 22:43 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.30%E -4.90%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.30%E -4.90%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.30%E -4.90%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.79%E -6.75%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | -0.0% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 22:58 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 17:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
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