La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-07-22 23:09 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 2–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 62.22%1.61momio equitativo
EV +7.01%
Ventaja +4.08%
Kelly +9.74%
Crecimiento +0.683%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.96%62.01%62.18%64.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.7268.97%65.35%65.36%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 37.78%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.631%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.387%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%37.99%37.82%43.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.212.532.552.6345.25%39.47%39.22%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV +7.01%E +4.08%K +9.74%G +0.683%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -13.85%E -6.08%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 02:54
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV +3.90%E +2.34%K +5.82%G +0.227%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -16.50%E -7.47%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:45
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.52%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 22:59
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -0.631%E -0.240%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.39%E -0.531%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 22:49
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.39%E -0.531%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 22:50
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 22:54
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 23:04
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 23:04
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 20:48
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 23:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:04
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 20:14
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 19:35
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 20:39
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.79%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:59
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:04
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 23:05
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 20:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 22:25
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 20:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.52%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 19:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 20:15
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:05
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 23:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 23:04
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:04
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 20:14
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 20:44
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 23:04
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 21:09
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 22:54
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 20:44
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:39
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:24
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:09
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:09
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:09
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:08
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 21:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 21:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 19:04
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 20:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 22:57
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 22:58
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.57%E -3.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:43
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.30%E -4.90%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:24
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.30%E -4.90%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:24
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.30%E -4.90%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.79%E -6.75%K -21.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.76%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88%-0.0%2026-07-22 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-07-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-07-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-07-22 23:04
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-07-22 22:58
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-22 17:14
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-07-22 23:04
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-07-22 23:00
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-07-22 22:59
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-07-22 23:04