Language:English
New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 50.86%1.97fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%50.88%51.05%53.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9457.80%54.01%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 49.14%2.04fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.596%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.87%49.12%48.95%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0655.56%51.19%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 50.86%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 49.14%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV +1.23%E +0.596%K +1.16%G +0.014% | 2.0% | 2026-07-20 06:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +0.244%E +0.120%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +0.244%E +0.120%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.23%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-20 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-20 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -9.47%E -5.32%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -2.21%E -1.11%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-20 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -10.49%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -10.49%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-20 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-20 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.49%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.99%E -6.28%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.33%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.33%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.43%E -4.08%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 19:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -12.01%E -6.94%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.65%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.87%E -2.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.11%E -4.34%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -4.34%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-20 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.43%E -4.08%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-20 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-20 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-07-20 23:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85% | 1.8% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.0% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |